Complex Deterrence: Strategy in the Global Age by T. V. Paul

By T. V. Paul

As the prices of a preemptive international coverage in Iraq became transparent, suggestions resembling containment and deterrence were gaining foreign money between coverage makers. This entire ebook deals an time table for the modern perform of deterrence—especially because it applies to nuclear weapons—in an more and more heterogeneous worldwide and political setting.

Moving past the precepts of conventional deterrence conception, this groundbreaking quantity deals insights for using deterrence within the sleek global, the place coverage makers may well stumble upon irrational actors, failed states, spiritual zeal, ambiguous energy relationships, and different events the place the conventional principles of statecraft don't practice. A exotic team of individuals the following examines concerns reminiscent of deterrence one of the nice Powers; the issues of local and nonstate actors; and actors armed with chemical, organic, and nuclear guns. Complex Deterrence will be a invaluable source for someone dealing with the substantial problem of fostering safeguard and peace within the twenty-first century.

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These are not new problems in terms of undertaking collective action to preserve the peace, but they are important because the global community no longer has a bipolar alliance system to control the behavior of smaller or weak states. They are further constrained in the area of asymmetric warfare because collective actors also could get bogged down waging unwinnable counterinsurgency warfare. Further, peacekeeping and peace enforcement are efforts for winning the minds of the local population, and excessive use of force can be counterproductive.

See Mark Juergensmeyer, Terror in the Mind of God: The Global Rise of Religious Violence (Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press, 2003); Robert A. Pape, “The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism,” American Political Science Review 97 (August 2003): 343–61. 14. Patrick M. Morgan, Deterrence Now (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1993), 4. 15. -Soviet deterrence context, there was some recognition of the possibility for irrationality and “the ultimate solution adopted to the credibility problem in mutual nuclear deterrence was the inherent capacity for the irrationality of the antagonists so as a threat to use nuclear weapons had some inherent credibility” (Patrick Morgan, personal e-mail communication, May 22, 2007).

See also Ashutosh Varshney, “Nationalism, Ethnic Conflict and Rationality,” Perspectives on Politics 1 (March 2003): 85–99. 19. Morgan, Deterrence Now, 9. It is also true that a broadened deterrence policy would prevent crisis and crisis escalation even among nonrivals. However, the most salient deterrent relationships would involve rivals. 20. In recent years, complexity theory has assumed major importance in the study of systems, especially biological systems. On how complexity is working in different scientific fields, see the special issue of Science, 284, no.

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